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Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Investors like China and Japan continue to switch out of dollars and into gold

By David Levenstein

Many market commentators argue that investing in gold is a waste of time especially since it does not pay interest and remains inert. This statement is very misleading. The issue of interest has no relevance. No one has ever invested in gold in order to receive interest. While gold is a precious metal as well as being a form of global currency, it is also a commodity. And, the reason why investors buy commodities is not for an annual dividend payment, but for a return on their investment that occurs as the price of the commodity appreciates. (I have not heard analysts say don't buy corn because it doesn't pay an interest). And, in many instances this rate of appreciation can be truly spectacular giving investors massive returns.

It should also be noted that gold is unique as an asset class as its value is influenced by many factors. And, like other asset classes, the price does not go up in a straight line. What amazes me is when gold goes through periods of consolidation certain analysts immediately denigrate it as an investment. Yes, there are going to be times when other forms of investments will out perform gold, but as the major trend in gold still remains firmly upwards, we must not allow these short-term periods to cloud our long-term judgment.

Like central banks that hold a portion of their reserves in gold, individual investors should do the same and allocate a portion of their funds to this precious metal. In fact, practically most countries hold a portion of their reserves in gold. All developed countries hold gold in their reserves while most of the developing countries also have a small holding of the yellow metal. As at the end of February 2010, some one hundred countries held gold in their reserves.

According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks added the most gold to their reserves since 1964 last year amid the longest rally in bullion prices in at least nine decades. Combined holdings rose 425.4 metric tons to 30,116.9 tons, an increase worth $13.3 billion at last year's average price, according to the (WGC). India, Russia and China said last year they added to reserves. The expansion was the first since 1988. Central banks, holding about 18 percent of all gold ever mined, are expanding their holdings for the first time in a generation as investors in exchange-traded funds amass bullion as an alternative to currencies. Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest ETF backed by the metal, are at 1,115.5 tons, more than the holdings of Switzerland.

Many of these central banks also hold currencies and US Treasuries in their reserves. But, what has been interesting is recently, some of these countries have been reducing their holdings of their US Treasuries while they have added to their gold holdings.

Last Monday, the US Treasury Department said that China's holdings dipped by $5.8 billion to $889 billion in January compared to December. Japan, the second largest foreign holder of U.S. government debt, also trimmed its holdings but by a much smaller $300 million to $765.4 billion. A month ago, Treasury initially reported that China had cut its holdings so sharply that it had lost its top spot as America's largest foreign creditor, a position it had held since its holdings overtook Japan in September 2008. However, 10 days later, Treasury released its annual update of the figures. The revised data showed that China, while reducing its holdings, still retained the top spot.

While China and Japan decreased their holdings, oil exporting countries boosted their holdings to $218.4 billion, up from $207.4 billion in December, and holdings of Treasury securities in Great Britain rose to $206 billion, up from $178.1 billion.

Economists say that unless foreign demand for U.S. Treasury debt remains strong the interest rates that the government has to pay for that debt could rise sharply, making the U.S. deficit picture look even worse. Rising rates for government debt would also put upward pressure on private debt, sending borrowing costs up for U.S. businesses and consumers adding another risk to the U.S. economy as it struggles to emerge from the worst recession since the 1930s.

Last week the Euro remained under pressure especially after Mr. Papandreou, the Prime Minister of Greece, basically threatened the EU and warned that if Greece could not sell its bonds and the EU would not come to his rescue, they may have to go to the International Monetary Fund and get some help. So the saga of Greece's debt problems continues. During the week, sterling rebounded strongly on the back of the stronger than expected job market data. The Dollar index dropped further to as low as 79.52 which represents a 38.2% retracement of 76.60 to 81.34.

Friday, March 19, 2010

Using the Dinar & Dirham

by The Islamic Mint

Gold and silver are the most stable currency the world has ever seen

From the beginning of Islam until today, the value of the Islamic bimetallic currency has remained surprisingly stable in relation to basic consumable goods:

A chicken at the time of the Prophet, salla'llahu alaihi wa sallam, cost one dirham; today, 1,400 years later, a chicken costs approximately one dirham.

In 1,400 years inflation is zero.

Could we say the same about the dollar or any other paper currency in the last 25 years?

In the long term the bimetallic currency has proved to be the most stable currency the world has ever seen. It has survived, despite all the attempts by governments to transform it into a symbolic currency by imposing a nominal value different from its weight.

Reliability

Gold cannot be inflated by printing more of it; it cannot be devalued by government decree, and unlike paper currency it is an asset which does not depend upon anybody's promise to pay.

Portability and anonymity of gold are both important, but the most significant fact is that gold is an asset that is no-one else´s liability.

All forms of paper assets: bonds, shares, and even bank deposits, are promises to repay money borrowed. Their value is dependent upon the investor's belief that the promise will be fulfilled. As junk bonds and the Mexican peso have illustrated, a questionable promise soon loses value.

Gold is not like this. A piece of gold is independent of the financial system, and its worth is underwritten by 5,000 years of human experience.

What are the Dinar & Dirham
by The Islamic Mint


According to Islamic Law...

The Islamic Dinar is a specific weight of 22k gold (917.) equivalent to 4.25 grams.

The Islamic Dirham is a specific weight of pure silver equivalent to 3.0 grams.

Umar Ibn al-Khattab established the known standard relationship between them based on their weights: "7 dinars must be equivalent to 10 dirhams."

"The Revelation undertook to mention them and attached many judgements to them, for example zakat, marriage, and hudud, etc., therefore within the Revelation they have to have a reality and specific measure for assessment [of zakat, etc.] upon which its judgements may be based rather than on the non-shari'i [other coins].

Know that there is consensus [ijma] since the beginning of Islam and the age of the Companions and the Followers that the dirham of the shari'ah is that of which ten weigh seven mithqals [weight of the dinar] of gold. . . The weight of a mithqal of gold is seventy-two grains of barley, so that the dirham which is seven-tenths of it is fifty and two-fifths grains. All these measurements are firmly established by consensus." Ibn Khaldun, Al-Muqaddimah

How are the Islamic dinar used?

1.- The Islamic Dinar can be used to save because they are wealth in themselves.

2.- They are used to pay zakat and dowry as they are requisite within Islamic Law.

3.- They are used to buy and sell since they are a legitimate medium of exchange.
The History of the Dinar & Dirham
by The Islamic Mint

In the beginning the Muslims used gold and silver by weight and the dinar and dirhams that they used were made by the Persians.

The first dated coins that can be assigned to the Muslims are copies of silver dirhams of the Sassanian Yezdigird III, struck during the Khalifate of Uthman, radiy'allahu anhu. These coins differ from the original ones in that an Arabic inscription is found in the obverse margins, normally reading "in the Name of Allah". Since then the writing in Arabic of the Name of Allah and parts of Qur'an on the coins became a custom in all mintings made by Muslims.

Under what was known as the coin standard of the Khalif Umar Ibn al-Khattab, the weight of 10 dirhams was equivalent to 7 dinars (mithqals)

In the year 75 (695 CE) the Khalifah Abdalmalik ordered Al-Hajjaj to mint the first dirhams, thus he established officially the standard of Umar Ibn al-Khattab. In the next year he ordered the dirhams to be minted in all the regions of the Dar al-Islam. He ordered that the coins be stamped with the sentence: "Allah is Unique, Allah is Eternal". He ordered the removal of human figures and animals from the coins and that they be replaced with letters.

This command was then carried on throughout all the history of Islam. The dinar and the dirham were both round, and the writing was stamped in concentric circles. Typically on one side it was written the "tahlil" and the "tahmid", that is, "la ilaha ill'Allah" and "alhamdulillah"; and on the other side was written the name of the Amir and the date. Later on it became common to introduce the blessings on the Prophet, salla'llahu alayhi wa sallam, and sometimes, ayats of the Qur'an.

Gold and silver coins remained official currency until the fall of the Khalifate. Since then, dozens of different paper currencies were made in each of the new postcolonial national states created from the dismemberment of Dar al-Islam.

Allah says in the Qur'an:

And amongst the People of the Book there are those who, if you were to entrust them with a treasure (qintar), he would return it to you. And amongst them is he who, if you were to entrust him with a dinar would not return it to you, unless you kept standing over him. Qur'an (3,75)

Qadi Abu Bakr Ibn al-Arabi, the greatest authority on Qur'anic Law wrote in his famous "Ahkam al-Qur'an" about this ayat:

"The benefit that can be taken from this is the prohibition of entrusting the People of the Book with goods".

Qadi Abu Bakr said: "The question concerning entrusting property is legislated by the text of Qur'an." This means that the ayat is a legal judgement of absolute validity and of the greatest importance to the deen.

Entrusting wealth to non-Muslims is not allowed, but furthermore, taking a non-Muslim as a partner outside Dar al-Islam (where we stand over them) is extremely restricted, because they might cheat or might use our wealth in forbidden transactions.

Since paper-money is a promise of payment, can it be permitted to trust the issuers while they hold the payment (our property) outside our jurisdiction? History has also demonstrated repeatedly that paper money has been a permanent instrument of default and cheating the Muslims. In addition, Islamic Law does not permit the use of a promise of payment as a medium of exchange.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold Gains 1.5% While Silver Surges Over 5% Higher This Week


http://news.goldseek.com


Gold traded mostly slightly higher in Asia and London before it briefly fell as much as $4.95 to $1127.45 in early New York trade after the jobs report was released, but it then rose to a new session high of $1140.49 by late morning and ended with a gain of 0.24%. Silver rose to as high as $17.49 by late morning in New York before it fell back off a bit in the last couple hours of trade, but it still ended with a gain of 1.05%.

Euro gold fell to about €834, platinum lost $5 to $1572.50, and copper gained 4 cents to about $3.40.

Gold and silver equities rose over 2% in the first hour of trade before they moderated a bit midday, but they still ended with over 1.5% gains.